Scenario 3 might depict the lack of association (r approximately = 0) between the extent of media exposure in adolescence and age at which adolescents initiate sexual activity.Scenario 2 depicts a weaker association (r=0,2) that we might expect to see between age and body mass index (which tends to increase with age).Scenario 1 depicts a strong positive association (r=0.9), similar to what we might see for the correlation between infant birth weight and birth length.The figure below shows four hypothetical scenarios in which one continuous variable is plotted along the X-axis and the other along the Y-axis. Graphical displays are particularly useful to explore associations between variables. Therefore, it is always important to evaluate the data carefully before computing a correlation coefficient. It is important to note that there may be a non-linear association between two continuous variables, but computation of a correlation coefficient does not detect this. A correlation close to zero suggests no linear association between two continuous variables. The magnitude of the correlation coefficient indicates the strength of the association.įor example, a correlation of r = 0.9 suggests a strong, positive association between two variables, whereas a correlation of r = -0.2 suggest a weak, negative association. The sign of the correlation coefficient indicates the direction of the association. The correlation between two variables can be positive (i.e., higher levels of one variable are associated with higher levels of the other) or negative (i.e., higher levels of one variable are associated with lower levels of the other). Ranges between -1 and +1 and quantifies the direction and strength of the linear association between the two variables. The sample correlation coefficient, denoted r, In correlation analysis, we estimate a sample correlation coefficient, more specifically the Pearson Product Moment correlation coefficient. Compute and interpret coefficients in a linear regression analysis.Compute and interpret a correlation coefficient. ![]() Define and provide examples of dependent and independent variables in a study of a public health problem.Learning ObjectivesĪfter completing this module, the student will be able to: The terms "independent" and "dependent" variable are less subject to these interpretations as they do not strongly imply cause and effect. Also, the term "explanatory variable" might give an impression of a causal effect in a situation in which inferences should be limited to identifying associations. [ NOTE: The term "predictor" can be misleading if it is interpreted as the ability to predict even beyond the limits of the data. In regression analysis, the dependent variable is denoted "Y" and the independent variables are denoted by "X". The outcome variable is also called the response or dependent variable, and the risk factors and confounders are called the predictors, or explanatory or independent variables. Regression analysis is a related technique to assess the relationship between an outcome variable and one or more risk factors or confounding variables (confounding is discussed later). For example, we might want to quantify the association between body mass index and systolic blood pressure, or between hours of exercise per week and percent body fat. In this section we discuss correlation analysis which is a technique used to quantify the associations between two continuous variables. Mathematicians seem to simply call these scenarios "non-linear" or "curvilinear" relationships, without seeming to notice that there are invariably two distinct relationships being identified by the data.Boston University School of Public Health While I have always used the term "split" effect to describe such phenomenon, I have not been able to find this phenomenon acknowledged or identified (by any particular term) amongst economists or mathematicians. Thus, we often see two or more different effects express themselves through a full range of data. This is because at very high rates of taxation, people either lose interest in working, or they start to seek ways of hiding their income from the government. However, after a certain tax rate is reached, we start to see a new effect take place wherein the tax revenue drops off as the tax rate is increased further. I call this phenomenon a "split" effect.įor example, in the Laffer curve, we at first see the government raise more tax revenue as tax rates increase because they collect more money from citizens. However, sometimes one effect drops off and then a new effect takes over. In economics, we're always interested in identifying "effects" that take place between variables. In Problem #3, illustrations A and B, you show something we see in economics quite a bit.
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